Swansea City v Cardiff City EFL Championship 2019-2020 Match Preview

Swansea City welcome arch rivals Cardiff City to the Liberty Stadium on Sunday in the first south Wales Derby for over five years, with the added focus of live TV coverage adding to the occasion.

The old cliché is that the form book goes out of the window in derby matches and this could be welcome for Steve Cooper’s side, as they lick their wounds from a poor performance in a 3-0 defeat to Brentford at home in midweek.

Swansea City v Brentford - Sky Bet Championship
The Swans against Brentford in midweek. Photo by Athena Pictures/Getty Images

The Swans have slipped to 10th in the table and are without a win in three games, but perhaps more of a worry is the fact that they are also without a home win since the 25th August.

Steve Cooper will no doubt hope a derby match in a highly charged Liberty Stadium atmosphere will get the season back on track, after so much promise during the opening 10 games.

The Bluebirds currently lie in 14th place in the Championship following their much anticipated relegation from the Premier League last season.

Cardiff’s form is also questionable at the moment, as they are also without a win in three games and without an away win all season – a run spanning seven games.

Cardiff drew 2-2 at Millwall in the week, in what was described as their best away performance of the season, which will provide some optimism for the 1,400 odd away fans.

However, the concern for Neil Warnock will be that the Bluebirds still didn’t come away with three points from the game at the Den.

Swansea City v Cardiff City Head to Head Stats
The overall head to head record between the two sides at Vetch Field and Liberty Stadium is as follows:

P77 W35 D14 L28
Swansea Goals: 117
Cardiff Goals: 114

The last time the sides met at the Liberty Stadium was in the Premier League back in February 2014, when new Swans manager Garry Monk relished in his sides 3-0 victory over Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s Cardiff side, thanks to second half goals from Wayne Routledge, Nathan Dyer and Wilfried Bony.

Take a look at all of the historical results between the two clubs since their first meeting way back on 7 September 1912, when the Swans drew with the Bluebirds 1-1 in Southern League Division 2, on our Swans v Bluebirds Head to Head Stats page.

Swansea City v Cardiff City Match Referee
Referee Robert Jones is a relative newcomer to the EFL Championship having only started officiating in the Football League during the 2016-17 season.

Robert Jones
Robert Jones

He will also be making his Liberty Stadium debut for this Championship fixture and one hopes he is ready for what will no doubt be a feisty encounter between the two bitter rivals.

This will be Jones’ 7th Championship game this season and he is more than likely to add to his current tally of 21 yellow cards!

Swansea City v Cardiff City Match Predictions
I’m sure most readers of this column will want to see a positive result for the Swans, so I’ve found the value bets for this naturally 🙂

Andre Ayew has scored each of Swansea’s last three goals and for me is good value to open the scoring in the south Wales derby with UniBet at 17/2 (9.50).

Swansea City v Northampton Town - Carabao Cup First Round
Andre Ayew celebrates scoring. (Photo by Athena Pictures/Getty Images)

Borja Baston’s form has tailed off from early season, possibly down to a lack of service, plus Ayew’s form and the fact that he is nearly double the odds of Borja to score first, are really appealing for those who fancy a flutter.

I would expect Cardiff to try and apply their usual physical approach to the game to try and bully the Swans in typical Neil Warnock side fashion.

With this in mind and a vociferous capacity Liberty Stadium crowd berating every foul that a Cardiff player makes, I think there is good value on referee Robert Jones brandishing a yellow card to a Bluebird first at odds of 4/5 (1.80) with SkyBet!

Bet365 offer a betting service called Bet Builder, where you can add different types of bet into an accumulator.

This can offer quite large odds and I would advise adding in Swansea to win, Andre Ayew to score at anytime and Sean Morrison to be booked at 22/1 (23.0).

If you add Joe Ralls to be booked as well, then this takes the bet up to 100/1 (101.0).

Swansea City v Cardiff City Bet Recommendations

  • First team booking – Cardiff at 4/5 (1.80) with SkyBet.
  • Swansea to win and over 2.5 goals at 13/5 (3.60) with BoyleSports.
  • Andre Ayew – First Goalscorer at 17/2 (9.50) with UniBet.
  • Swansea to win AND Andre Ayew to score anytime AND Sean Morrison to be booked at 22/1 (23.0) with Bet365 Bet Builder.
  • Swansea to win AND Andre Ayew to score anytime AND Sean Morrison and Joe Ralls to be booked at 100/1 (101.0) with Bet365 Bet Builder.

All of the odds quoted on this page are correct at the time of writing. Our match predictions are fully researched and are provided to you in good faith, but please note that we cannot guarantee a profit on any bets you place and ask you to gamble responsibly.

Many thanks to Swans season ticket holder @jonmainy for his match preview and betting tips, which are summarised below for those of you who like a flutter on the Swans.

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