Swansea City v Manchester City FA Cup Quarter Final 2018-2019 Match Preview

This Saturday evening sees Swansea City welcome Manchester City to the Liberty Stadium for a televised FA Cup Quarter Final, the Swans second quarter final appearance in as many seasons.

It’s been a difficult week for the Swans as they’ve suffered defeats at Norwich City and West Bromwich Albion.

The Swans have played some nice football in the games and against West Brom they had 70% of the possession, but as mentioned in previous match previews, they do suffer with a lack of firepower when they are without Oli McBurnie.

This has proved the case in both away games, with Swansea failing to score in either, despite creating plenty of decent scoring opportunities.

Manchester City warmed up for this weekend’s fixture with a 7-0 victory over Schalke 04 in the Champions League, equalling the record for the biggest margin of victory for a knock-out match, to progress to the Quarter Final stage for a meeting with Premier League rivals Spurs.

The Citizens are arguably the best team in Europe at present and Graham Potter’s side could not face a tougher task this weekend.

Swansea City v Manchester City Head to Head Stats
The overall head to head record between the two sides at Vetch Field and Liberty Stadium is as follows:

Games played: 18
Swans wins: 6
Manchester City wins: 9
Draws: 3
Swansea Goals: 31
Manchester City Goals: 34

In fact the Swans have only won once in all 8 meetings at the Liberty Stadium, a 1-0 victory in March 2011, conceding 17 goals and scoring only 8.

Take a look at all of the historical results between the two clubs since their first meeting way back in 1927, when the Citizens beat the Swans 3-1 at the Vetch Field in Division Two, on our Swansea City v Manchester City Head to Head Statistics page.

Swansea City v Manchester City Match Referee
Match referee Andre Marriner is a familiar face to both sides due to him being a Premier League official.

Andre Marriner
Andre Marriner

This will be the first time that Marriner has officiated a Swans game this season. He has however been the referee for four Manchester City Premier League games, 3 wins and 1 defeat – against Crystal Palace at the Etihad Stadium in December.

In his 22 Premier League appearances this season, Marriner has averaged nearly 3 yellow cards per game (63 in total) but has only awarded three red cards and three penalties.

Swansea City v Manchester City Match Predictions
Some Swansea City fans may dream of an FA Cup shock, but I really cannot see any way this can happen on the weekend, especially if the Swans recent form is anything to go by.

Leading goalscorer Oli McBurnie will once again be missing for the Swans, meaning they will be lacking again in an attacking sense.

Coupled with the fact that the Swans do not seem very solid defensively at present and given Manchester City’s ruthless goalscoring streak is fantastic at present, it is hard to see anything other than a win for Pep Guardiola’s team unfortunately.

Of course, City’s odds of 1/7 (1.14) aren’t very appealing so again we look elsewhere for the value in the bet.

Manchester City have won games in 2019 by scorelines of 5-0, 6-0, 7-0 (twice) and 9-0.

Whilst I don’t want to terrify Swansea supporters, there is a clear sign there that the Citizens don’t let up in a football game and always want more goals.

Given these stats, the odds of 17/16 (2.06) with 188Bet that Man City win both halves of the game does seem generous and so is my first selection.

Sergio Aguero has spearheaded the Man City attack in many of their recent games, but I would expect Pep Guardiola to rest him for the Swansea clash and give Gabriel Jesus some game time.

Sergio Aguero - Manchester City

Jesus has a goal every 104 minutes for City this season which is a phenomenal strike rate even for a striker playing in this Man City side and the 7/2 (4.50) to score the first goal with BetUK is certainly value, whilst the 7/9 (1.78) with UniBet on him to score at any time seems pretty nailed on.

Fans who do not wish to back against the Swans may find some solace in this week’s ACCA.

Our selections this week are Hull, Sheffield Wednesday, Bury and Man Utd. The four fold pays 14.87/1 (15.87) with MarathonBet.

Swansea City v Manchester City Bet Recommendations

  • Manchester City to win both halves at 17/16 (2.06) with 188Bet
  • Gabriel Jesus to score first at 7/2 (4.50) with BetUK
  • Gabriel Jesus to score anytime at 7/9 (1.78) with UniBet

All of the odds quoted on this page are correct at the time of writing. Our match predictions are fully researched and are provided to you in good faith, but please note that we cannot guarantee a profit on any bets you place and ask you to gamble responsibly.

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